{"id":2368,"date":"2026-07-14T13:33:12","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T09:33:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/?p=2368"},"modified":"2026-07-14T14:05:55","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T10:05:55","slug":"the-market-keeps-climbing-the-builders-have-already-slowed-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/the-market-keeps-climbing-the-builders-have-already-slowed-down\/","title":{"rendered":"The market keeps climbing. The builders have already slowed down."},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2368\" class=\"elementor elementor-2368\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eae7ee8 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"eae7ee8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5f2111d elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"5f2111d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html lang=\"en\">\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"UTF-8\">\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0\">\n<title>BS Estates \u2014 Tbilisi Residential Market Briefing for International Buyers<\/title>\n<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\">\n<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.gstatic.com\" crossorigin>\n<link 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font-family:var(--mono);\n    font-size:13px;\n    letter-spacing:0.06em;\n    text-transform:uppercase;\n    background:var(--brass);\n    color:var(--ink);\n    padding:15px 30px;\n    border-radius:2px;\n    text-decoration:none;\n    font-weight:600;\n    transition:background 0.2s ease;\n  }\n  .cta-button:hover{background:var(--brass-light);}\n\n  \/* ---------- Footer ---------- *\/\n  footer{\n    padding:36px 0 50px;\n    font-size:12.5px;\n    color:var(--sage);\n  }\n  footer .fline{\n    border-top:1px solid var(--line);\n    padding-top:24px;\n  }\n  footer p{margin:0 0 10px;font-size:12.5px;color:var(--sage);}\n\n  @media (prefers-reduced-motion: reduce){\n    *{transition:none !important;}\n  }\n<\/style>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n\n<div class=\"masthead\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"brandmark\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span><span>BS Estates<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"meta\">Issue 07 \u2014 July 2026 \u00b7 Residential Market Briefing<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<section class=\"hero\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"hero-eyebrow\">For international buyers &amp; investors<\/div>\n    <h1>The market keeps climbing.<br>The builders have <em>already<\/em> slowed down.<\/h1>\n    <p class=\"lede\">A monthly read on Tbilisi's residential market \u2014 translated for buyers looking in from abroad. Data drawn from Galt &amp; Taggart Research's May 2026 Monthly Market Watch, with context for what it actually means if you're weighing a purchase from outside Georgia.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n  <svg class=\"skyline\" viewbox=\"0 0 1200 190\" preserveaspectratio=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n    <rect width=\"1200\" height=\"190\" fill=\"var(--ink)\"\/>\n    <!-- hill -->\n    <path d=\"M0,150 Q180,95 340,120 T620,105 L620,190 L0,190 Z\" fill=\"#1e433d\"\/>\n    <!-- fortress on hill -->\n    <g fill=\"#12302b\">\n      <rect x=\"250\" y=\"80\" width=\"14\" height=\"45\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"246\" y=\"72\" width=\"6\" height=\"10\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"258\" y=\"72\" width=\"6\" height=\"10\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"270\" y=\"72\" width=\"6\" height=\"10\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"264\" y=\"90\" width=\"14\" height=\"35\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"288\" y=\"100\" width=\"10\" height=\"25\"\/>\n    <\/g>\n    <!-- modern towers -->\n    <g fill=\"#0f2925\">\n      <rect x=\"700\" y=\"60\" width=\"46\" height=\"130\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"756\" y=\"30\" width=\"40\" height=\"160\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"806\" y=\"75\" width=\"34\" height=\"115\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"850\" y=\"45\" width=\"52\" height=\"145\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"912\" y=\"90\" width=\"30\" height=\"100\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"952\" y=\"55\" width=\"42\" height=\"135\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"1004\" y=\"95\" width=\"36\" height=\"95\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"1050\" y=\"65\" width=\"44\" height=\"125\"\/>\n      <rect x=\"1104\" y=\"100\" width=\"96\" height=\"90\"\/>\n    <\/g>\n    <!-- brass rooflines -->\n    <g stroke=\"var(--brass)\" stroke-width=\"2\" fill=\"none\" opacity=\"0.55\">\n      <line x1=\"700\" y1=\"60\" x2=\"746\" y2=\"60\"\/>\n      <line x1=\"756\" y1=\"30\" x2=\"796\" y2=\"30\"\/>\n      <line x1=\"850\" y1=\"45\" x2=\"902\" y2=\"45\"\/>\n      <line x1=\"952\" y1=\"55\" x2=\"994\" y2=\"55\"\/>\n      <line x1=\"1050\" y1=\"65\" x2=\"1094\" y2=\"65\"\/>\n    <\/g>\n  <\/svg>\n<\/section>\n\n<div class=\"metrics\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"metrics-grid\">\n      <div class=\"metric\">\n        <div class=\"label\">Primary price<\/div>\n        <div class=\"value\">$1,412<span style=\"font-size:14px;\">\/m\u00b2<\/span><\/div>\n        <div class=\"delta\">+6.1% y\/y<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"metric\">\n        <div class=\"label\">Average rent<\/div>\n        <div class=\"value\">$9.9<span style=\"font-size:14px;\">\/m\u00b2<\/span><\/div>\n        <div class=\"delta\">50\u201360 m\u00b2 unit<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"metric\">\n        <div class=\"label\">Gross yield<\/div>\n        <div class=\"value\">8.4%<\/div>\n        <div class=\"delta\">vs 9.7% GEL deposit<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"metric\">\n        <div class=\"label\">Permits issued<\/div>\n        <div class=\"value\">165k<span style=\"font-size:14px;\"> m\u00b2<\/span><\/div>\n        <div class=\"delta\">\u221218.4% y\/y<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"metric\">\n        <div class=\"label\">Market value 5M26<\/div>\n        <div class=\"value\">$1.63bn<\/div>\n        <div class=\"delta\">+21.9% y\/y<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<section class=\"block\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"eyebrow\">The signal<\/div>\n    <h2>Two numbers looked like they disagreed. A closer look says otherwise.<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"signal-layout\">\n      <div class=\"lead-col\">\n        <p>In May, 3,748 apartments changed hands in Tbilisi \u2014 up from 3,374 a year earlier. The residential market has now moved 18,296 transactions worth $1.63 billion in the first five months of 2026, a 21.9% increase in value over the same period last year. By any conventional read, that's a market in good health.<\/p>\n        <p>At the same time, the city issued construction permits for just 165,484 square metres of new residential space in May \u2014 down 18.4% from a year ago, and the eighth consecutive month of annual decline. Cumulatively, permitted living area is down 34.4% year-to-date.<\/p>\n        <p>The obvious read is that banks have gotten stingier with developers. The data doesn't back that up: National Bank of Georgia figures show real estate development lending grew 13% year-on-year through February 2026, outpacing overall business lending growth, and remains the single largest category of bank lending to businesses in the country. In aggregate, banks are lending more to developers, not less.<\/p>\n        <p>A more precise read is normalization, not distress. Galt &amp; Taggart's own analysis notes that even after eight straight months of decline, permitted living area remains roughly 32% above the 2015\u20132022 \"healthy\" average \u2014 this looks more like a correction from an overheated 2023\u201324 permitting spike than builders quietly pricing in a demand problem. The one credit-related wrinkle worth watching: regulators tightened loan-to-value and provisioning requirements for developer loans earlier this year, following an IMF review that flagged rising bank exposure to real estate. That's a terms squeeze, not a lending freeze \u2014 it can make financing harder specifically for smaller developers without showing up in aggregate lending figures for some time yet.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"callout\">\n        <div class=\"k\">Permits vs. the 2015\u20132022 \"healthy\" baseline<\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\">+32%<\/div>\n        <p>Even after 8 straight months of annual decline, permitted living area still sits well above its long-run average \u2014 a correction, not a collapse.<\/p>\n        <p>The real pressure point is cost, not credit: construction cost is up 6.1% over the past year, with transportation, fuel, and electricity up 15.1%, while primary sale prices are rising just 0.3% a month.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<svg class=\"divider\" viewbox=\"0 0 1200 34\" preserveaspectratio=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n  <rect width=\"1200\" height=\"34\" fill=\"var(--stone)\"\/>\n  <path d=\"M0,20 Q300,4 600,18 T1200,12\" stroke=\"var(--brass)\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" fill=\"none\" opacity=\"0.5\"\/>\n<\/svg>\n\n<section class=\"block\" style=\"background:var(--stone);\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"eyebrow\">By district<\/div>\n    <h2>Where the premium sits \u2014 and where the volume sits<\/h2>\n    <p class=\"lead-col\">Tbilisi's districts split cleanly into two stories: a small, high-price core driven partly by international buyers, and a much larger mid-market carrying most of the city's transaction volume.<\/p>\n    <table class=\"district-table\">\n      <thead>\n        <tr><th>District<\/th><th>Price \/ m\u00b2<\/th><th>Rent \/ m\u00b2<\/th><th>May sales<\/th><\/tr>\n      <\/thead>\n      <tbody>\n        <tr>\n          <td class=\"name\">Vake <span class=\"tag\">Premium core<\/span><\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$3,150<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$14.6<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">158 units<\/td>\n        <\/tr>\n        <tr>\n          <td class=\"name\">Mtatsminda <span class=\"tag\">Premium core<\/span><\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$2,922<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$13.0<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">69 units<\/td>\n        <\/tr>\n        <tr>\n          <td class=\"name\">Saburtalo<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$1,687<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$11.2<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">647 units<\/td>\n        <\/tr>\n        <tr>\n          <td class=\"name\">Didube<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$1,445<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$10.0<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">334 units<\/td>\n        <\/tr>\n        <tr>\n          <td class=\"name\">Didi Dighomi<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$1,140<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">$8.5<\/td>\n          <td class=\"num\">692 units<\/td>\n        <\/tr>\n      <\/tbody>\n    <\/table>\n    <p style=\"margin-top:22px;font-size:14px;opacity:0.75;\">Vake and Mtatsminda carry the highest per-metre prices and rents in the city, but a comparatively small share of monthly volume \u2014 the trade-off that comes with a thin, prestige-driven buyer pool rather than broad local demand.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<section class=\"block\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"eyebrow\">Buying from abroad<\/div>\n    <h2>What actually applies to you as a foreign buyer<\/h2>\n    <p class=\"lead-col\">Georgia's ownership framework is genuinely simple by regional standards \u2014 but a few specifics are worth knowing before you assume how it works.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"guide-grid\">\n      <div class=\"guide-card\">\n        <div class=\"h\">Ownership<\/div>\n        <div class=\"v\">No local partner required<\/div>\n        <p>Foreign nationals can buy residential property on the same legal terms as Georgian citizens \u2014 no special permit, no residency requirement. Agricultural land is the main carve-out.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"guide-card\">\n        <div class=\"h\">Taxation<\/div>\n        <div class=\"v\">No purchase tax<\/div>\n        <p>Rental income is taxed at a flat 5%. There's no requirement to route ownership through a local entity for a straightforward residential purchase.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"guide-card\">\n        <div class=\"h\">Residency<\/div>\n        <div class=\"v\">$150,000 threshold<\/div>\n        <p>As of March 2026, the minimum qualifying investment for temporary residency-by-investment rose to $150,000, up from the previous threshold \u2014 worth factoring in if residency is part of your reason for buying.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<section class=\"block\" style=\"background:var(--stone);\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"eyebrow\">Regional context<\/div>\n    <h2>How Tbilisi's yield compares to nearby frontier markets<\/h2>\n    <p class=\"lead-col\">Gross rental yield is one of the more honest single numbers for comparing frontier real estate markets against each other. Tbilisi sits in the upper half of its regional peer set.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"yield-bars\">\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Ankara<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:100%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">9.7%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Tashkent<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:87%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">8.5%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row highlight\"><span class=\"city\">\u10d7\u10d1\u10d8\u10da\u10d8\u10e1\u10d8<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:86%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">8.4%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Astana<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:85%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">8.3%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Yerevan<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:73%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">7.1%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Baku<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:57%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">5.5%<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"ybar-row\"><span class=\"city\">Bucharest<\/span><div class=\"ybar-track\"><div class=\"ybar-fill\" style=\"width:44%;\"><\/div><\/div><span class=\"pct\">4.3%<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<section class=\"block\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"eyebrow\">Looking ahead<\/div>\n    <h2>Three ways the next 12\u201324 months could go<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"scenario-grid\">\n      <div class=\"scenario\">\n        <div class=\"tag2\">Base case<\/div>\n        <h3>A steadier, more ordinary market<\/h3>\n        <p>Price growth moderates into the mid-single digits as the current pipeline finishes delivering. Permits stay soft through 2026 without a sharp reversal either way.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"scenario bull\">\n        <div class=\"tag2\">Bull case<\/div>\n        <h3>Scarcity catches up to demand<\/h3>\n        <p>The permit slowdown persists long enough that new completions genuinely undershoot demand by 2027\u201328, giving existing, ready-to-move inventory real pricing power.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"scenario bear\">\n        <div class=\"tag2\">Bear case<\/div>\n        <h3>A cost-and-demand squeeze<\/h3>\n        <p>Rising construction costs strain developers who pre-sold at lower prices, just as foreign demand softens on regional headlines \u2014 pressuring completion timelines rather than just prices.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<div class=\"cta\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <h2>Considering Tbilisi from abroad?<\/h2>\n    <p>Every market has a moment that matters more than the headline number. If you want a read on a specific district, project, or price band before you commit, get in touch directly.<\/p>\n    <a href=\"mailto:info@bsestates.ge\" class=\"cta-button\">Get in touch<\/a>\n    <div style=\"margin-top:16px;\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/995599304294\" style=\"font-family:var(--mono);font-size:13px;letter-spacing:0.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--brass-light);text-decoration:underline;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WhatsApp us<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<footer>\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <div class=\"fline\">\n      <p>This monthly briefing is prepared by <strong>BS Estates<\/strong> for international buyers, using published market research. Figures in this issue are drawn from Galt &amp; Taggart Research's \"Tbilisi Residential Real Estate \u2014 Monthly Market Watch,\" 30 June 2026, and from publicly reported ownership, tax, and residency rules current as of this issue's date.<\/p>\n      <p>This briefing is for general information only and is not investment, tax, or legal advice. Property markets carry real risk, including currency, liquidity, and completion risk on off-plan purchases. Confirm current tax and residency rules with a licensed local advisor before acting on anything here.<\/p>\n      <p>\u00a9 2026 BS Estates \u00b7 Info@bsestates.ge \u00b7 +995 599 30 42 94 (WhatsApp)<\/p>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/footer>\n\n<\/body>\n<\/html>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BS Estates \u2014 Tbilisi Residential Market Briefing for International Buyers BS Estates Issue 07 \u2014 July 2026 \u00b7 Residential Market Briefing For international buyers &amp; investors The market keeps climbing.The&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,30,31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-luxury-real-estate","category-market-insights","category-real-estate"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2368"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2368\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2386,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2368\/revisions\/2386"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bsestates.ge\/ka\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}