BS Estates — Tbilisi Residential Market Briefing for International Buyers
BS Estates
Issue 07 — July 2026 · Residential Market Briefing
For international buyers & investors

The market keeps climbing.
The builders have already slowed down.

A monthly read on Tbilisi's residential market — translated for buyers looking in from abroad. Data drawn from Galt & Taggart Research's May 2026 Monthly Market Watch, with context for what it actually means if you're weighing a purchase from outside Georgia.

Primary price
$1,412/m²
+6.1% y/y
Average rent
$9.9/m²
50–60 m² unit
Gross yield
8.4%
vs 9.7% GEL deposit
Permits issued
165k
−18.4% y/y
Market value 5M26
$1.63bn
+21.9% y/y
The signal

Two numbers looked like they disagreed. A closer look says otherwise.

In May, 3,748 apartments changed hands in Tbilisi — up from 3,374 a year earlier. The residential market has now moved 18,296 transactions worth $1.63 billion in the first five months of 2026, a 21.9% increase in value over the same period last year. By any conventional read, that's a market in good health.

At the same time, the city issued construction permits for just 165,484 square metres of new residential space in May — down 18.4% from a year ago, and the eighth consecutive month of annual decline. Cumulatively, permitted living area is down 34.4% year-to-date.

The obvious read is that banks have gotten stingier with developers. The data doesn't back that up: National Bank of Georgia figures show real estate development lending grew 13% year-on-year through February 2026, outpacing overall business lending growth, and remains the single largest category of bank lending to businesses in the country. In aggregate, banks are lending more to developers, not less.

A more precise read is normalization, not distress. Galt & Taggart's own analysis notes that even after eight straight months of decline, permitted living area remains roughly 32% above the 2015–2022 "healthy" average — this looks more like a correction from an overheated 2023–24 permitting spike than builders quietly pricing in a demand problem. The one credit-related wrinkle worth watching: regulators tightened loan-to-value and provisioning requirements for developer loans earlier this year, following an IMF review that flagged rising bank exposure to real estate. That's a terms squeeze, not a lending freeze — it can make financing harder specifically for smaller developers without showing up in aggregate lending figures for some time yet.

Permits vs. the 2015–2022 "healthy" baseline
+32%

Even after 8 straight months of annual decline, permitted living area still sits well above its long-run average — a correction, not a collapse.

The real pressure point is cost, not credit: construction cost is up 6.1% over the past year, with transportation, fuel, and electricity up 15.1%, while primary sale prices are rising just 0.3% a month.

By district

Where the premium sits — and where the volume sits

Tbilisi's districts split cleanly into two stories: a small, high-price core driven partly by international buyers, and a much larger mid-market carrying most of the city's transaction volume.

DistrictPrice / m²Rent / m²May sales
Vake Premium core $3,150 $14.6 158 units
Mtatsminda Premium core $2,922 $13.0 69 units
Saburtalo $1,687 $11.2 647 units
Didube $1,445 $10.0 334 units
Didi Dighomi $1,140 $8.5 692 units

Vake and Mtatsminda carry the highest per-metre prices and rents in the city, but a comparatively small share of monthly volume — the trade-off that comes with a thin, prestige-driven buyer pool rather than broad local demand.

Buying from abroad

What actually applies to you as a foreign buyer

Georgia's ownership framework is genuinely simple by regional standards — but a few specifics are worth knowing before you assume how it works.

Ownership
No local partner required

Foreign nationals can buy residential property on the same legal terms as Georgian citizens — no special permit, no residency requirement. Agricultural land is the main carve-out.

Taxation
No purchase tax

Rental income is taxed at a flat 5%. There's no requirement to route ownership through a local entity for a straightforward residential purchase.

Residency
$150,000 threshold

As of March 2026, the minimum qualifying investment for temporary residency-by-investment rose to $150,000, up from the previous threshold — worth factoring in if residency is part of your reason for buying.

Regional context

How Tbilisi's yield compares to nearby frontier markets

Gross rental yield is one of the more honest single numbers for comparing frontier real estate markets against each other. Tbilisi sits in the upper half of its regional peer set.

Ankara
9.7%
Tashkent
8.5%
Tbilisi
8.4%
Astana
8.3%
Yerevan
7.1%
Baku
5.5%
Bucharest
4.3%
Looking ahead

Three ways the next 12–24 months could go

Base case

A steadier, more ordinary market

Price growth moderates into the mid-single digits as the current pipeline finishes delivering. Permits stay soft through 2026 without a sharp reversal either way.

Bull case

Scarcity catches up to demand

The permit slowdown persists long enough that new completions genuinely undershoot demand by 2027–28, giving existing, ready-to-move inventory real pricing power.

Bear case

A cost-and-demand squeeze

Rising construction costs strain developers who pre-sold at lower prices, just as foreign demand softens on regional headlines — pressuring completion timelines rather than just prices.

Considering Tbilisi from abroad?

Every market has a moment that matters more than the headline number. If you want a read on a specific district, project, or price band before you commit, get in touch directly.

Get in touch